Is it a full scale war between India and Pakistan?
As the development is taking place every day it looks to be that both are going toward full scale war. There is bomb shelling from both side after May 7. Though India has upper hand in this war too looking at the weapons and economic stability.
What effect will it have in India after a full scale war?
A full-scale war between India and Pakistan would have catastrophic consequences across multiple dimensions-humanitarian, economic, political, and global security-especially given that both countries are nuclear-armed.
Humanitarian Impact
Let us check one by one after the war effect
- Mass Casualties: Even in the current escalation, dozens of civilians have already been killed on both sides. A full-scale war would likely result in thousands, if not millions, of deaths and injuries, especially if urban centers are targeted.
- Displacement: This is first thing would occur for the people who are at border. The population in border particularly in Punjab, Jammu & Kashmir, and Sindh, would face mass displacement, as seen in previous conflicts and current advisories for residents to relocate.
- Infrastructure Destruction: Cities could experience widespread destruction from missile, drone, and air strikes, as already witnessed in Lahore, Karachi,
- Economic Consequences
- Trade Collapse: All trade between the two countries has already ceased, with critical routes like the Attari-Wagah border closed. Pakistani traders are facing shortages in essential items, and both nations’ markets have seen sharp declines
- Sectoral Impact: Key sectors such as tourism, aviation, and exports are severely affected. Pakistan’s economy, already fragile, would be hit especially hard by the loss of Indian imports like medicines and agricultural products, while India would face disruptions in select imports and exports.
- Market Instability: Both the Karachi Stock Exchange and Indian markets have experienced volatility. A full-scale war would likely trigger a financial crisis in both countries, with global investors pulling out due to heightened risk
Political and Diplomatic Fallout
- Total Breakdown of Relations: Diplomatic ties have already been downgraded, treaties suspended, and embassies closed. A full-scale war would eliminate any remaining avenues for dialogue, making future reconciliation even more difficult6.
- International Isolation: Both countries could face international sanctions or isolation, especially if civilian casualties mount or if nuclear weapons are threatened or used
Nuclear Risk
- Potential for Nuclear Escalation: Experts warn that there is a “real potential for nuclear use” if the conflict spirals out of control, given the history and current rhetoric3. Even a limited nuclear exchange would be devastating-causing millions of deaths, long-term environmental damage, and global fallout.
- No Clear Off-Ramp: Current dynamics show both sides escalating without a clear path to de-escalation, increasing the risk of miscalculation and catastrophic consequences
Regional and Global Impact
- Refugee Crisis: A large-scale conflict could trigger a refugee crisis, affecting neighboring countries and straining international humanitarian resources.
- Global Security Threat: The international community, including the US, China, and the UN, has called for restraint, recognizing that a war between two nuclear powers would destabilize the entire region and threaten global security.
- Disruption of Global Trade: The region’s instability could disrupt global supply chains, especially if airspace and sea routes are affected
